Models of Legal Reasoning about Evidence (Henry Prakken)
Day, 20 July, session 5.2.1, first afternoon session: 14h-15h20.
NB: This session is now on inference to the best explanation (see session 4.2.2).
Themes introduced in this session:
- Three models: argumentation-based, story-based and Bayesian probabilistic.
- Brief introduction to probability theory and Subjective Bayesianism
- Some statistical fallacies in reasoning about evidence
- Comparing the three models
- Slides (link)
- Tribe, Trial by Mathematics (link)
- Lempert, Modeling Relevance (link)
- Tillers,Making (Inverted) Bayesian Thinking More Intuitive (link)
- People v. Collins (link)
- Tillers, Trial by mathematics – reconsidered (link)
- Tillers, Webs of Things in the Mind: A New Science of Evidence (link)
- Tillers, Are There Universal Principles or Forms of Inference? (link)
- Possible flight from the police in Washington Heights (link)